Property News
Published on
January 23, 2026

Singapore Property Market 2025: The Full-Year Review and What It Signals for 2026

Author
Kelvin Sin
Kelvin helps families buy and upgrade using real transaction data, so you see what agents see and avoid the expensive mistakes. He is the Co-Founder of LiveFree and a CEA-licensed professional with PropNex Realty (Reg. No. R062804F).
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Singapore property market 2025 full-year review infographic covering private and HDB indicators

The Singapore property market 2025 closed with private home prices up 3.3%, the slowest annual growth since 2020, while new home sales jumped 67% to 10,815 units and unsold inventory fell to a 30-year low. Slower price growth against stronger demand and thinner supply is the combination that shapes 2026.

This is a data-led review. The first four sections stay strictly with the published statistics: price movements, transaction volumes and supply conditions across the private and public markets. Interpretation is deliberately held back to the final section, where we set out what the numbers may mean for buyers in 2026.

1. Singapore Property Market 2025: The Price Index

Singapore’s private residential property price index rose 3.3% in 2025, down from 3.9% in 2024 and the slowest annual gain since 2020.

That moderation is not weakness. It reflects a market moving away from broad-based acceleration toward something more measured and more segmented, shaped by disciplined developer pricing and by structural supply management through the Government Land Sales programme.

Segment Performance

 Singapore property price index by region 2019-2025 showing OCR, CCR and RCR performance
  • Core Central Region (CCR): +1.9%. The volatility here reflects a pricing impasse, where sellers with strong holding power saw little reason to meet buyers’ expectations.
  • Rest of Central Region (RCR): +1.6%. Steady, consistent demand for city-fringe housing.
  • Outside Central Region (OCR): +3.2%. The strongest non-landed segment of the year and the primary driver of growth.

OCR leading the table is the single most important line in this review. It tells you demand is being set by upgraders and affordability, not by luxury buyers. Our ten-year study of district performance shows how persistent that pattern has been.

2. The Private Market: Demand, Volumes and Supply

New Private Home Sales

Chart of Singapore private new home sale volume by quarter

Developers sold 10,815 new private homes in 2025, excluding ECs, a sharp recovery from 6,469 units in 2024 and the highest annual volume since 2021. Three things supported the rebound:

  • A ramp-up in supply from earlier GLS sites finally reaching launch
  • More stable interest rate conditions
  • A gradual return of buyer confidence

For which projects drove that volume, see our 2026 new launch shortlist.

The Private Resale Market

Chart of Singapore private resale transaction volume by quarter

Resale activity edged up to 15,677 transactions, against 15,481 in 2024, which suggests demand for completed homes held firm even as the primary market recovered. Buyers weighing the two routes should read our subsale and resale comparison.

Unsold Stock and the GLS Pipeline

Chart of Singapore private housing demand versus supply from 1995 to 2025

Unsold inventory of new non-landed private homes finished 2025 at 14,859 units, one of the lowest levels in over 30 years. That number matters more for 2026 pricing than anything else in this review.

Table of Government Land Sales sites awarded in Singapore

The GLS Programme for 1H2026 offers 4,575 units including EC supply, slightly below the 2H2025 pipeline, which signals continued prudence in land release against an already tight market. We break down the sites in the 2026 GLS land bids and the 2H 2026 hotspots.

3. The HDB Market: Stabilisation and Structural Shifts

Resale Prices and Volumes

Chart of Singapore HDB resale transaction volume by quarter

The HDB resale market hit an inflection point in 4Q2025, with prices flat at 0.0% growth for the first time since early 2020. Across the full year, resale prices rose 2.9%, a substantial moderation from the 9.7% recorded in 2024.

Volumes fell from 28,986 transactions in 2024 to 26,169 in 2025, down 9.7% year-on-year. Two causes:

  • A surge in BTO launches with shorter waiting times
  • Limited supply of flats reaching MOP, which fell to an 11-year low of 7,314 units

Million-Dollar Flats

Chart of million-dollar HDB flat transactions in Singapore from 2012 to 2025

The top of the HDB market went the other way. A record 1,594 million-dollar flats changed hands in 2025, up 54.7% on the previous peak of 1,035 in 2024. More than half were flats aged 15 years or below, concentrated in mature estates with strong connectivity.

If you own one of these, the opportunity cost of holding is now substantial. We put numbers to it in the real cost of holding your HDB.

BTO Supply and the MOP Outlook

Chart of HDB flats reaching Minimum Occupation Period from 2020 to 2040

The government plans roughly 19,600 BTO flats across three 2026 exercises, with more than 4,000 units carrying waiting times under three years.

Chart of HDB flats reaching Minimum Occupation Period from 2020 to 2040

At the same time, flats reaching MOP nearly double, from 7,314 in 2025 to 13,756 in 2026. That upgrader wave arrives just as new launch choice narrows. Our HDB upgrading roadmap sets out the sequence, and the EC route is worth weighing if the budget is tight.

4. The 2026 New Launch Pipeline: Availability Over Abundance

The 2026 pipeline is more balanced but narrower, with a greater proportion of large developments, and fewer genuinely popular options than 2025 offered.

That reflects the cumulative effect of controlled land release, heavy absorption through 2024 and 2025, and today’s thin unsold inventory. Choice rather than price may be the binding constraint, which makes unit type and tenure decisions sharper. see what ten years of data say about unit types and our 99-year versus freehold comparison.

5. LiveFree Insights: What This Means for 2026

The data above is descriptive. Read collectively, several structural patterns emerge.

  • Price growth moderated; demand did not disappear. It became selective and segmented. OCR keeps demonstrating resilience on affordability and upgrader flow, while CCR reflects sensitivity to pricing expectations.
  • The 2025 recovery ate the inventory. With fewer launch options in 2026, resale homes may carry more of the demand.
  • A new upgrader wave is forming. Stabilising HDB resale, record million-dollar transactions, and MOP flats nearly doubling all point to HDB owners moving into private, particularly OCR and RCR.

If these conditions hold, 2026 is less a story of broad price acceleration and more a question of where demand concentrates, which segments benefit, and how limited choice reshapes behaviour. For how this actually played out, read our Q1 2026 review and Q2 2026 review.

In a market where headlines chase short-term price movements, structural demand, supply depth and buyer flow matter far more than momentum. Property is a long-hold, leveraged asset, a point we argue in full in property versus stocks.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did Singapore property prices rise in 2025?

The private residential price index rose 3.3%, down from 3.9% in 2024 and the slowest annual growth since 2020. HDB resale prices rose 2.9%, against 9.7% in 2024.

Which region performed best in 2025?

Outside Central Region, at +3.2%, the strongest non-landed segment. CCR rose 1.9% and RCR 1.6%.

Why did HDB resale volumes fall in 2025?

Volumes dropped 9.7%, from 28,986 to 26,169, mainly because BTO launches with shorter waiting times absorbed demand and because flats reaching MOP fell to an 11-year low of 7,314 units.

Is there a shortage of new condos in 2026?

Unsold inventory ended 2025 at 14,859 units, one of the lowest readings in 30 years, and the 1H2026 GLS programme adds only 4,575 units. Choice is narrower than in 2025. See the 2026 launch shortlist.

Will 2026 be a good year to upgrade from an HDB flat?

Flats reaching MOP nearly double to 13,756 in 2026, so more owners become eligible at once, which means more competition for the same narrow pool of launches. Planning early matters more than usual; start with the upgrading roadmap.

Planning your next move in 2026? Contact Kelvin on WhatsApp — a question costs nothing.

LiveFree Takeaways

  • Prices slowed, demand did not. +3.3% private and +2.9% HDB, with new sales up 67% to 10,815 units.
  • OCR led the market. +3.2% says growth is being set by upgraders and affordability, not luxury.
  • Supply is the binding constraint. 14,859 unsold units is a 30-year low, and 1H2026 GLS adds just 4,575.
  • The upgrader wave lands in 2026. MOP flats nearly double to 13,756 as launch choice narrows.
  • Clarity, not urgency. In a thin-supply market, knowing where demand concentrates beats chasing momentum.

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